Jan Hagemejer

Faculty of Economic Science, University of Warsaw

ul. Dluga 44/50

Warszawa, Poland

Education

2017 Habilitation, University of Warsaw

2002-2009 University of Warsaw, PhD in Economics

2003-2005 Department of Economics, Purdue University, Indiana, USA, MA in Economics

1999-2000  London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economics – General Course, a study year for visiting undergraduates

1997-2002  University of Warsaw, Department of Economics, MA summa cum laude, Andrzej Semkow prize for best MA thesis

Scientific packages and other software

Stata, GAMS, GEMPACK, Fortran, Ox, Demetra, Eviews, R, Python, Matlab, Eviews, LaTeX.

Professional experience

1.2010 – present, vice President, Macro and trade director at CASE – Center for Economic and Social Research

12.2019 – present, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Economic Sciences, associate professor

2.2009-11.2019 University of Warsaw, Dept. of Economics, assistant professor (adiunkt)

11.2005-12.2019    National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute, head of Structural Analysis Division (previously: economic advisor, head of section, economic expert, economist)

9.2003-6.2005       Center for Global Trade Analysis (GTAP), Purdue University, Indiana, USA, research assistant

1.2002-6.2005       freelance work (telecommunications, international trade)

7.2001-8.2001       International Telecommunication Union, Geneva, Switzerland, junior consultant

9.2001-2.2002
2.2001-5.2001       Office for Telecommunication Regulations, Warsaw, Competition Unit, internship

Research interests

international trade, general equilibrium modelling, macroeconomics, firm-level data

Teaching

  • Advanced Microeconomics (graduate)
  • International Trade Theory
  • International Economics
  • Macroeconomics (Principles)
  • Applied Macroeconomics
  • Methods in Applied Macro
  • Applied Microeconomics – Computable General Equilibrium Modelling
  • Industrial Organization and Competition Policy
  • CGE Modelling with the GTAP model

Publications and research

My Ideas/RepEc publication list | RepEc citations   | My ORCID profile

My Google Scholar publication and citations list.

2024, EU enlargements, Brexit and value-added trade. A structural gravity approach, forthcoming (accepted) in PloS ONE, with Jakub Mućk

2024, Spa(tia) – a diffusion-oriented method of territorial impact assessment, Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal, published online before print, with Mikołaj Herbst, Agnieszka Pechcińska, and Patrycja Artymowska

2024, Single Market Enlargement and Technical Barriers to Trade: Revisiting the Evidence, Central European Economic Journal 11 (58), with Łukasz Matuszczak

2024, Special Edition of the Central European Economic Journal to Mark the 70th Birthday of Prof. Jan Jakub Michałek, Central European Economic Journal 11 (58), 17-20

2023, Economic integration, industrial structure, and catch-up growth: Firm-level evidence from Poland, Review of International Economics, 31(1), 106-140, with Paulo Bastos, Gonzalo Varela, Stefania Lovo

2022, Global value chains and exchange rate pass-through, International Review of Economics & Finance, 82, 461-478, with Aleksandra Hałka and Jacek Kotłowski

2022, How big a drop in agricultural exports to the United Kingdom after Brexit? Simulations for sensitive products of four Visegrad countries, PLoS ONE 17 (9), e0274462, with K Pawlak, JJ Michalek, M Dunin-Wasowicz

2022, Central Planning Casts Long Shadows: New Evidence on Misallocation and Growth, Post-Soviet Affairs, 38(6), 513-530, with Joanna Tyrowicz

2021, Sanctions as an effective policy tool, CASE Reports, with Anders Aslund

2021, Economic impact of the EU Eastern enlargement on New Member States revisited: The role of economic institutions. Central European Economic Journal, vol.8, no.55, 126-143, with Jan Michalek and Pavel Svatko.

2021, Structural change and misallocation. Firm-level evidence from Poland, Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(1), 95-122, with Joanna Tyrowicz

2020, Extraterritorial sanctions on trade and investments and European responses, Directorate-General for External Policies of the Union (European Parliament), DOI: 10.2861/028506, with Hartwell, Christopher A, Karunska, K, Maurer, A., Blockmans, S., Stoll, T.

2020, A New Instrument for Measuring the Local Causal Effect of Privatisation on Firm Performance, Gospodarka Narodowa: The Polish Journal of Economics 3(303), 35–52, with Joanna Tyrowicz

2021, Trade-related effects of Brexit. Implications for Central and Eastern Europe, Poster presented at the ASSA 2021 annual meeting, with Maria Dunin-Wąsowicz, Jan J. Michałek, Jacek Szyszka.

2019, Export-led growth and its determinants. Evidence from CEEC countries. World Economy, vol 42(7), Wiley, pp. 1994-2025, with Jakub Mućk.

2018, Globalisation and the Polish economy: macro and micro growth effects, BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and deglobalisation, volume 100, pages 273-289 Bank for International Settlements, with Piotr Szpunar

2018, Trade and Growth in the New Member States. The role of global value chains, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2017.1369878

2017, Up or Down the Value Chain? A Comparative Analysis of the GVC Position of the Economies of the New EU Member States, Central European Economic Journal (published online ahead of print). doi: https://doi.org/10.1515/ceej-2017-0003, with Mahdi Ghodsi

2017, Poland and TTIP Trade Effects: Modest Gains, CESifo Forum, ISSN 2190-717X, ifo Institut – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München, München, Vol. 18, Iss. 1, pp. 10-11

2017, Upstreamness of Employment and Global Financial Crisis in Poland: The Role of Position in Global Value Chains. In: Havlik P., Iwasaki I. (eds) Economics of European Crises and Emerging Markets. Palgrave, Singapore. doi: 10.1007/978-981-10-5233-0_10, with Joanna Tyrowicz

2017, Potential Macroeconomic Effects of the Trade Collapse Due to Economic and Political Crises: The Case of Poland. In: Havlik P., Iwasaki I. (eds) Economics of European Crises and Emerging Markets. Palgrave, Singapore, doi: 10.1007/978-981-10-5233-0_9

2016, Decreasing fertility vs increasing longevity: Raising the retirement age in the context of ageing processes, Economic Modelling 52, January 2016, pages 125-143, with Marcin Bielecki, Karolina Goraus and Joanna Tyrowicz

2016, Ocena wpływu podpisania TTIP na polski sektor rolny i spożywczy. In M. Dunin-Wąsowicz (Ed.), Analiza wpływu TTIP na wybrane sektory polskiej gospodarki (pp. 120–197). Warszawa: WN SCHOLAR, with Jan Michałek & Karolina Pawlak

2015, Analyzing the efficiency of the pension reform: the welfare effects of various fiscal closures, Macroeconomics Dynamics vol. 21(5), with Krzysztof Makarski and Joanna Tyrowicz, https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100515000383

2015, Rola usług rynkowych w procesach rozwojowych gospodarki Polski, Gospodarka Narodowa, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 163-193, with Jakub Growiec, Michał Gradzewicz, Zofia Jankiewicz, Piotr Popowski, Katarzyna Puchalska, Paweł Strzelecki and Joanna Tyrowicz [English title: The  role of market services in the growth processes in the economy of Poland]

2015, Small assumptions (can) have a large bearing: evaluating pension system reforms with OLG models, Economic Modelling 48, 210–221, with Marcin Bielecki, Karolina Goraus, Krzysztof Makarski, Joanna Tyrowicz

2015, Unprivatizing the pension system: the case of Poland. Applied Economics, 47, 833–852, with Krzysztof Makarski and Joanna Tyrowicz

2014, Multinational Enterprises, Absorptive Capacity and Export Spillovers: Evidence from Polish Firm-level Data. Review of Development Economics 18, 709–726, with Andrzej Cieslik.

2014, The Distribution of Monopolistic Markups in the Polish Economy. Eastern European Economics 52, 3–31, with Piotr Popowski

2014, Liberalization of Services in Europe; Polish perspective on Economic Implications of the Services Directive, Journal of Policy Modeling 36(2)  March–April 2014, Pages 211–225, with Jan Michałek and Tomasz Michałek

2013, Short-run impact of the implementation of EU Climate and Energy Package for Poland, Bank i Kredyt 44 (3), with Zbigniew Żółkiewski

2012, Krótkookresowe skutki makroekonomiczne pakietu energetyczno-klimatycznego w gospodarce Polski; Wnioski dla polityki pieniężnej, NBP, Warszawa, Hagemejer, J. [ed.]

2012, Is the Effect Really so large? Firm-Level Evidence on the Role of FDI in a Transition Economy, Economics of Transition, Volume 20, Issue 2, pages 195–233, April 2012, with Joanna Tyrowicz

2011, The Effectiveness of Preferential Trade Liberalization in Central and Eastern Europe, International Trade Journal, Volume 25, No. 5, November–December 2011, with Andrzej Cieślik

2011, The Effectiveness of Preferential Trade Liberalization in Central and Eastern Europe, WNE UW Working Papers WP22(62), with Andrzej Cieślik

2011, Fiscal tightening after the crisis. A scenario analysis for Poland, Bank i Kredyt, 42 (3), with Tomasz Jędrzejowicz and Zbigniew Żółkiewski

2011, Not all that glitters: the direct effects of privatisation through foreign investors, Eastern European Economics, Volume 49, Number 3 / May-June 2011, with Joanna Tyrowicz

2011, Internationalization and economic performance of enterprises: evidence from firm-level data, The World Economy 34(1), with Marcin Kolasa

2010, Implications of the Doha Round negotiations in services for Poland, Bank i Kredyt, Vol. 41 No. 1 (2010) with Jan Michalek and Tomasz Michalek

2010, Factors Driving Polish Firms Decision to Export in the Pre-Accession Period: Importance of Technical Barriers to Trade, in: Maria Helena Guimarães and Ana Paula Faria (ed.) , International Business and Management; Product Market Integration: A Multifaceted Approach, Emerald, London

2010, Cykl koniunkturalny w Polsce – wnioski z analizy spektralnej, Bank i Kredyt, Vol. 41 No. 5 (2010) with Jakub Growiec, Michal Gradzewicz and Piotr Popowski.

2009, The long run-effects of the Poland’s accession to the eurozone. Simulation using POLDYN – a dynamic computable general equilibrium model, National Bank of Poland Working Papers 70, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute, with Tomasz Daras

2009, Assessing the Impact of the EU-sponsored Trade Liberalization in the MENA Countries, Journal of Economic Integration, 24(2), June 2009, 343-368 with Andrzej Cieślik

2008, Internationalization and economic performance of enterprises: evidence from firm-level data, National Bank of Poland Working Papers 51, Economic Institute, with Marcin Kolasa

2008, Political Economy of Poland‘s Trade Policy. Empirical Verification of Grossman-Helpman Model, Eastern European Economics, 9/2008, with Jan Michalek. Earlier version of the paper (download).

2008, Globalization and the Polish Economy: Stylized Facts and Simulations using a Computable General Equilibrium Model, 07/2008, Bank i Kredyt, with Michał Gradzewicz and Zbigniew Żółkiewski

2008, Skutki liberalizacji handlu rolnego w ramach Rundy Doha (WTO) dla Polski. Symulacja przy użyciu policzalnego modelu równowagi ogólnej, Ekonomista 4/2008, with Jan Michałek. English title: Effects of agricultural trade liberalization in the framework of the Doha Round. Computble General Equilibrium Simulation.

2007, Standardization Policy of the EU, European Journal of Law Reform, nr. 9/3, with Jan Michałek

2007, Wpływ redukcji ceł na towary nierolne w rundzie Doha na handel zagraniczny Polski, Gospodarka Narodowa, z Ewą Kaliszuk, 5-6/2007. English title: The Reduction of Customs Duties on Non-Agricultural Goods As Part Of The Wto Doha Round and its Implications gor Poland’s Foreign Trade.

2007, Wpływ konkurencji oraz cyklu koniunkturalnego na zachowanie się marż monopolistycznych w gospodarce polskiej, Bank i Kredyt 3/2007, with Michał Gradzewicz, English title: Impact of competition and business cycles on the behaviour of monopolistic markups in the Polish economy

2007, Marże monopolistyczne i przychody skali w gospodarce polskiej, Ekonomista 4/2007, with Michał Gradzewicz. English title: Monopoly markups and returns to scale in the Polish Economy. A microeconometric analysis.

2007, The effects of agricultural trade liberalization in the framework of the Doha round. A CGE-based assessment, UKIE, www.ukie.gov.pl, with Jan Michałek

2007, Business cycle, competition and monopoly markups in the Polish Economy, Proceedings of the Ecomod Conference, Sao Paulo, ECOMOD Press

2007, Services Trade Data, with Robert McDougall, in: Dimaranan, Betina V., (ed.), Global Trade, Assistance, and Production: The GTAP 6 Data Base, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University,

2007, Income and Factor Taxes, with Robert McDougall, w: Dimaranan, Betina V., (ed.), Global Trade, Assistance, and Production: The GTAP 6 Data Base, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University,

2006, Czynniki wpływające na decyzję firm o eksporcie. Analiza danych mikroekonomicznych, Bank i Kredyt, nr 7/2007, English title: Firm productivity and the decision to export. Firm level analysis of Polish firms.

2006, Normy techniczne i sanitarne w handlu międzynarodowym. Ich znaczenie w integracji Polski z UE, Warsaw University Publishers, book with Jan Michałek. English title: Technical and sanitary norms in international trade. Their significance in the process of Polish integration with the EU.

2006, Polityka standaryzacyjna UE – konsekwencje przystąpienia dla Polski i innych nowych członków, z Janem Michałkiem, w: J. J. Michałek (ed.), W. Siwiński (ed.), M. W. Socha (ed.) Polska w Unii Europejskiej. Dynamika konwergencji ekonomicznej. English title: UE standardization policy: consequences of EU enlargement.

2006, Translation of 3 chapters of: International Economics. Theory and Policy. Paul Krugman and Maurice Obstfeld.

2005, Comparative analysis of importance of technical barriers to trade (TBT) for Central and Eastern European Countries’ and Mediterranean Partner Countries’ exports to the EU, Femise Report FEM22-03, www.femise.org, with: Jan Michałek, Victoria Roshal, Jacek Rothert  and Alfred Tovias

2004, The significance of technical barriers to trade for Poland and other CEECs acceding to the EU: Reconsidering the evidence,  Emergo, issue 11, number 1, 2004

2003, Perspektywy Polskiego Rynku Telekomunikacyjnego (Perspectives of the Polish Telecom Market),  Instytut III Rzeczpospolitej i CSR IBnGR, co-author

2003, Comparison of usage costs of fixed-line telephony services in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary and other European countries, IT&Telecoms Monitor, No. 2 (3), April 2003

2003, Próba szacowania skutków przystąpienia Polski do Unii Europejskiej w wybranych sektorach. Model Smitha-Venablesa, in: : J. J. Michałek (ed.), W. Siwiński (ed.), M. W. Socha (ed.)  Od liberalizacji do integracji Polski z Unią Europejską, English title: Sectoral effects of Polish accession to the EU: Smith-Venables model simulation.

2002, Operator dominujący – naturalny monopolista, (The dominant operator – natural monopolist) Unia & Polska, 8 (84) 23 May 2002

Awards

2012, Ministry of Science and Higher Education scholarship for outstanding young scholars

2010, Ministry of Science and Higher Education award for outstanding research performance

2009, PhD with distinctions

2002, Andrzej Semkow Award for best MA thesis

Research projects and policy advice

2019-2021, NCN OPUS, Economic effects of Brexit-induced changes in international trade, project manager

2018-2019, NCN OPUS, Economic interactions under new energy policy, investigator

2015-2018, NCN OPUS, The effects of resource misallocation on growth when large structural shocks occur, project manager

2014-2016, NCN OPUS, The impact of the EU-USA free trade area on international cooperation. Implications for Poland, investigator

2014-2016, NCN SONATA, Global production chain: value added and productivity of enterprises, project manager

2014-2015, NCN OPUS, Dynamic CGE model for analysis of energy policy, investigator

2011-2014, NCN SONATA, Modeling pension reform, investigator

2013, Effects of the EU-Japan FTA. The Polish perspective. Policy impact assesment for Polish Ministry of Economy

2007, Completing the internal market: effects of liberalization of the service sector. Potential role of the EU budget as a tool to ease structural change. Policy evaluation project for the Polish Commitee of European Integration (UKIE), 2007

2007, Structure of Polish service trade: current situation and future prospects, Report for the Ministry of Economy

2006, Effects of agricultural trade liberalization in the Doha framework, Expertise for the Polish Committee of European Integration (UKIE)

2006, The Reduction of Customs Duties on Non-Agricultural Goods As Part Of The Wto Doha Round and its Implications gor Poland’s Foreign Trade., report for Foreign Trade Research Insitute (IKCHZ) and Ministry of Economy,

International FEMISE research project (Euro-Mediterranean Forum of Economic Institutes) financed by the European Commission:
2006-2007 Full integration versus partial trade liberalization: Comparing the economic performance of the NMS and MPC’s
2004-2005 Comparative analysis of the importance of technical barriers to trade (TBT) for Central and Eastern European Countries’ and Mediterranean Partner Countries’ exports to the EU, ref. FEM22-03

before 2003, Three research projects financed by the Committee for Research at Warsaw University